{"id":459,"date":"2012-06-19T00:54:06","date_gmt":"2012-06-19T04:54:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/?p=459"},"modified":"2012-06-19T00:54:06","modified_gmt":"2012-06-19T04:54:06","slug":"the-biggest-chokers-in-one-day-cricket","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/2012\/06\/the-biggest-chokers-in-one-day-cricket\/","title":{"rendered":"The biggest chokers in One Day Cricket"},"content":{"rendered":"

After observing Pakistan lose spectacularly to Sri Lanka from a position of strength in the last<\/a> two<\/a> one-day games between the two teams, the first thought that came to my mind about the Pakistan team is: chokers. But how exactly do we define “choking”? In this post, we give a mathematical definition of choking and then analyze which teams have been the biggest chokers in one-day matches in the past three years.<\/p>\n

Consider the first<\/a> of the above two mentioned matches. In the second innings, after 40 overs, Pakistan was comfortably ahead with a win probability<\/a> 0.684. Then came the hat-trick by Perera, and by the time the 45th over ended, Pakistan had bitten the dust. In a span of five overs, the win probability of Pakistan plummeted from 0.684 to 0. Similarly, in the second<\/a> match match, the win probability of Pakistan plunged from 0.800 to 0 in a space of 30 deliveries.<\/p>\n

So the mathematical definition that we give for choking is: The losing team had a win probability of more than 0.5 five overs before the end of the match. The difference of 0.5 in win probability implies that the team was comfortably in a winning positions five overs earlier, but somehow managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. In 2012, apart from these two instances, there are four more examples where a team “choked”:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Pakistan (yet again!) choking against England<\/a>\n
  2. Bangladesh choking against Pakistan<\/a>\n
  3. India choking against Bangladesh<\/a>\n
  4. West Indies choking against Australia<\/a>\n<\/ol>\n

    The following table shows the number of times the teams choked in one-day matches in each calender year 2009-2012:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t
    Team<\/th>2012<\/th>2011<\/th>2010<\/th>2009<\/th>Total<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Pakistan<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>0<\/td>6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Bangladesh<\/td>1<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    England<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    South Africa<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td>5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    West Indies<\/td>1<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Australia<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>2<\/td>3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Netherlands<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Kenya<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>1<\/td>3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    India<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Sri Lanka<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    New Zealand<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Ireland<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>0<\/td>2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Zimbabwe<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td>1<\/td>1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n

    Usually, the tag of chokers is given to South Africa because of their penchant for losing in a really lame fashion in big stage tournaments. However, 2009 onwards, the biggest chokers have been Pakistan, who have achieved this feat a total of 6 times. What more, the Pakistan team really has a propensity of playing it close: they have been on the winning or losing side of choking affairs a staggering 13 times. South Africa keeps up with its reputation of being the chokers in this analysis, coming a close second with a total of 5 choking instances. On the other hand, India, Sri Lanka and New Zealand have generally played it safe and choked just 2 times each in the past 3 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    After observing Pakistan lose spectacularly to Sri Lanka from a position of strength in the last two one-day games between the two teams, the first thought that came to my mind about the Pakistan team is: chokers. But how exactly do we define “choking”? In this post, we give a mathematical definition of choking and… Read More »The biggest chokers in One Day Cricket<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=459"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/459\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":466,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/459\/revisions\/466"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cricmetric.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}